Size of cash and near-cash transfer programmes (unemployment benefits, means-tested assistance, universal child benefits). Architecturally distinct from forced-saving schemes — see condition welfare_architecture.
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
Direction of monetary-base expansion decisions relative to trend. Separate from fiscal.transfer_expansion even when correlated.
Signature Pheu Thai stimulus programme pledged in the 2023 campaign as a universal 10,000-baht digital-wallet handout to every Thai aged 16+ (~50m eligible) restricted to local-area spending, with the aim of a large one-off consumption multiplier. After fiscal-space and legal-scrutiny debates through 2024, the scheme was recalibrated from a universal token-based design to a phased cash disbursement via the Krung Thai Bank PaoTang app and state welfare card. Phase 1 (September 2024): 10,000 baht to ~14.5m state-welfare-card holders and disabled registrants, ~145bn baht. Phase 2 (January 2025): payment to elderly over 60, ~3m recipients, ~30bn baht. Remaining phases for general adults recalibrated through 2025 and partially merged with other relief programmes. Funded via supplementary budget and in-year reallocation rather than the originally proposed digital currency. Total budget envelope held around 450-500bn baht across phases.
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.