Size of cash and near-cash transfer programmes (unemployment benefits, means-tested assistance, universal child benefits). Architecturally distinct from forced-saving schemes — see condition welfare_architecture.
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
Lei 13.982/2020 established the Auxílio Emergencial, an emergency cash transfer initially set at R$600/month (R$1,200 for single-mother households) for informal workers, MEIs, unemployed and low-income households. Reached ~68 million recipients at peak — the largest cash-transfer expansion in Brazilian history by coverage and fiscal volume (~4% of GDP in 2020). Extended through 2020 at reduced values and replaced by Auxílio Brasil / Bolsa Família successor programmes from 2021.
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.