Size of cash and near-cash transfer programmes (unemployment benefits, means-tested assistance, universal child benefits). Architecturally distinct from forced-saving schemes — see condition welfare_architecture.
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
Direction of monetary-base expansion decisions relative to trend. Separate from fiscal.transfer_expansion even when correlated.
Product-market regulation, entry barriers, licensing burdens, network-industry regulation, price controls.
Beginning in July 2014 and accelerated under the 2016 IMF EFF, Egypt cut petroleum-product subsidies in successive steps, lifted electricity tariffs on a multi-year schedule, and adjusted natural-gas prices toward cost-recovery. By 2019 fuel subsidies had fallen from over 6% of GDP to under 2%, freeing budgetary space for cash-transfer expansion (Takaful and Karama) and capex.
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.