Size of cash and near-cash transfer programmes (unemployment benefits, means-tested assistance, universal child benefits). Architecturally distinct from forced-saving schemes — see condition welfare_architecture.
Bolsa Família scaled from ~8.7m families (2006) to ~12.7m families (2010). Per-child benefit added for under-15s (2008), adolescent-benefit 16-17 (2008), benefício variável vinculado à gestante (2011). Programme budget rose from ~BRL 7.5bn (2006) to ~BRL 14bn (2010). Coverage ~one-quarter of Brazilian population. Contributed to extreme-poverty rate fall from ~10% (2003) to ~4% (2014). Consolidated under Lei 10.836/2004 framework.
Per invariant 3, reforms are scored by what they did on each channel-separated axis, not by the party that enacted them. This fingerprint is how the policy-match engine finds historical analogues.
Explicit links are curated by the author. Inferred links are hypotheses in the library that test the same axes this policy moved — the framework's answer to "what does the data say about a policy like this?".
Ranked by axis-fingerprint overlap with this policy. Direction match bolded — those are the closest historical analogues. Shape of the match is what drives policy-outcome comparison, not the country or party label.