Movements · park_chung_hee_industrial_policy_1961_1979 Park Chung-hee heavy-industrial drive (South Korea) KOR · 1961 – 1979· Military-civilian authoritarian regime under Park
Leaders: Park Chung-hee (President) · Economic Planning Board bureaucracy
Doctrine — stated goals and content State-directed export-oriented industrialisation with explicit sectoral targeting (steel, shipbuilding, electronics, petrochemicals), Heavy & Chemical Industry Drive from 1973. Directed credit via state banks to chaebol conglomerates conditional on export performance. Rapid land reform, universal education investment, labour repression. Outcome: ~8-10% annualised GDP growth 1962-1979; transformed agrarian economy to industrial one within a generation. Canonical developmentalist- state success case (Amsden, Chang), contested on attribution between policy and sequencing.
Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes ↑
sectoral licensing → regulatory.sectoral_licensing
Sector-specific licensing regimes, concentration / quota allocation, state-controlled entry (energy, telecoms, healthcare, banking).
increased · strong
tighter sectoral licensing / more state gating
Explicit government direction of investment sectoral allocation.
↑
sectoral subsidy → fiscal.sectoral_subsidy
Targeted industrial and sectoral subsidies (renewable energy, chip manufacturing, agriculture, green hydrogen, etc).
increased · strong
expanded sectoral subsidies
~
trade openness → regulatory.trade_openness
Trade policy openness — tariffs, non-tariff barriers, FTAs, industrial protection.
mixed
Import-protection on some sectors + export subsidies; tariff reduction on inputs to export sectors.
↓
rule of law → institutional.rule_of_law
Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.
decreased · moderate
weaker rule of law
Authoritarian regime with suppression of labour and political dissent.
Policies enacted · korea_hcidrive_1973 · korea_directed_credit_1962_1979 · korea_export_subsidy_regime_1965_1979 · korea_land_reform_1949_1961 · korea_park_hci_1973 What the data says — linked outcome hypotheses The movement's outcome claims are tied to these hypotheses. Verdicts update as models run.
not yet written developmentalist_state_growth_performance
Schools of thought aligned or opposed opposed chicago_monetarism Pejoratively cited as government failure in orthodox critique, but outcomes contradict the prediction.
References Amsden (1989), Asia's Next Giant Chang (2002), Kicking Away the Ladder Kwon (1994), Beyond East Asian Welfare States Notes Pre-1996 sample extension; hypothesis-level run would need Maddison + PWT data.
IESET — an empirically-grounded, adversarially-reviewed framework for contemporary economic policy questions. Every hypothesis pre-registered in git before the data is examined.