IESET.
Movements·lebanon_aoun_salam_reconstruction_2025_present

Aoun-Salam post-war reconstruction government 2025-present

LBN·2025 – present·Reformist technocratic cabinet outside the traditional sectarian-elite consensus; backed by international donors
Leaders: Joseph Aoun (President, Jan 2025-, former LAF commander, ended 2-year presidential vacancy) · Nawaf Salam (Prime Minister, Feb 2025-, former ICJ president) · Yassin Jaber (Finance Minister) · Karim Souaid (BdL Governor from 2025)
positionsempirical_pragmatistordoliberalclassical_liberal

Doctrine — stated goals and content

Government formed after the Israel-Hezbollah war ceasefire (Nov 2024) and end of the two-year presidential vacancy. Programme: IMF Article IV-aligned economic reform — recapitalisation of Banque du Liban, deposit-restitution framework for the post-2019 banking collapse, electricity- sector restructuring, anti-corruption institutional reform, full implementation of UNSC Resolution 1701 with extension of state authority to the south, weakening of Hezbollah's parallel financial and security infrastructure (post-war diminished). Donor conditionality tied to anti-corruption benchmarks. Currency unification (parallel-rate gap collapsed during 2024-2025 hyperinflation phase) attempted via lira-dollarisation accommodation.

Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes

↑
rule of law
institutional.rule_of_law
Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.
increased · moderate
stronger rule of law
Anti-corruption appointments; judicial reform; reduced parallel-armed-actor influence.
↑
central bank independence
monetary.central_bank_independence
De jure and de facto independence of the central bank from fiscal authority. Per D.1.5 scope, one of the framework's defensible monetary positions.
increased · moderate
greater independence (legal, operational, personnel)
BdL recapitalisation and depoliticised governance restored.
↑
financial deregulation
regulatory.financial_deregulation
Financial-sector regulation — banking separation, capital requirements, cross-border activity rules, derivatives oversight.
increased · moderate
tighter financial regulation
Axis semantic '+' is tighter financial regulation; banking secrecy, BDL governance, and deposit-loss reforms strengthen supervisory accountability.
↓
spending level
fiscal.spending_level
General government spending as share of GDP, excluding transfers already captured under fiscal.transfer_expansion to avoid double-counting.
decreased · weak
lower spending share
Post-collapse fiscal capacity remains constrained; reform-oriented budgeting under IMF conditionality.
↑
trade openness
regulatory.trade_openness
Trade policy openness — tariffs, non-tariff barriers, FTAs, industrial protection.
increased · weak
more open trade
Donor-aligned regulatory normalisation; gradual lifting of capital-account restrictions.

Policies enacted

Schools of thought aligned or opposed

aligned
empirical_pragmatist
Technocratic cabinet outside the sectarian-elite consensus; IMF Article IV-aligned reform; donor-conditionality framework.
partial
ordoliberal
BdL recapitalisation + rules-based monetary reset + deposit-restitution framework.
partial
classical_liberal
Anti-corruption institutional reform; gradual capital-account reopening; weakening of parallel security and financial structures.

References

Notes

Stub authored to close 2026 atlas-coverage gap for LBN.