Revolutionary mixed economy codified in Article 44 of the 1979 constitution: three sectors — state (heavy industry, oil, banking, major infrastructure), cooperative, and private. Large-scale nationalisations 1979-1982 (banks, insurers, "taghuti" industrial conglomerates) were followed by creation of parastatal "bonyads" (Mostazafan, Shahid) that control sizeable shares of non-oil GDP outside standard fiscal accountability. IRGC-linked conglomerates (Khatam al-Anbia) expanded after the 1988 Iran-Iraq war ceasefire. The state is heavily rentier: oil revenues finance generalised consumer subsidies (fuel, bread, utilities) which at peak exceeded 20% of GDP. Banking is nominally interest-free (Law for Usury-Free Banking 1983) with profit-sharing instruments. Sanctions-era macroeconomics: multiple exchange rates, chronic inflation (15-40% range, spikes during sanctions shocks), capital controls, and 2010 Targeted Subsidies Reform under Ahmadinejad converting part of fuel subsidies to cash transfers. Article 44 amendment 2006 nominally opened space for privatisation but most divested shares went to quasi-state "Justice Shares" and parastatal entities rather than genuine private owners. Sanctions regimes (US 1995, UN 2006-2010, "maximum pressure" 2018-present) are exogenous drivers of some but not all macroeconomic stress.
Policy-content fingerprint — how the framework codes this movement on its axes
Size of cash and near-cash transfer programmes (unemployment benefits, means-tested assistance, universal child benefits). Architecturally distinct from forced-saving schemes — see condition welfare_architecture.
increased · strong
larger transfer footprint
Universal fuel/bread/utility subsidies historically >15% of GDP; post-2010 partial conversion to cash transfers.
Salehi-Isfahani (2009), 'Poverty, Inequality, and Populist Politics in Iran', Journal of Economic Inequality
Mazaheri (2016), 'Iran's Bonyads: Economic Power and Religious Authority'
Maloney (2015), 'Iran's Political Economy since the Revolution'
IMF Article IV Iran (2011 last before gap; 2018)
Notes
Sanctions must be modelled as exogenous covariate; do not absorb into policy coding. Bonyad quantification imperfect — framework should note identification limit.