IESET.
Drift overview·NGA

Nigeria

≈ stable11 movements coded · 19762023·final composite drift: +2.0
tone legendleft / state-expansionright / marketcentrist / mixedauthoritarian

Composite statist-drift trajectory with movements

fiscal axes — what moved and which way

sectoral subsidyspending leveltax progressivity

regulatory axes — what moved and which way

financial deregulationproduct market competitionsectoral licensingtrade openness

monetary axes — what moved and which way

central bank independencemonetary expansion direction

institutional axes — what moved and which way

property rightsrule of law

Movement timeline (11)

YearMovement
1976–1979Obasanjo military (first) — indigenisation, oil-rent spending, transition to civilian rule
nigeria_obasanjo_military_first_1976_1979
1979–1983Shagari Second Republic — oil-bust fiscal crisis, austerity, coup end
nigeria_shagari_second_republic_1979_1983
1983–1985Buhari military government — War Against Indiscipline, austerity, IMF rejection
nigeria_buhari_military_1983_1985
1985–1993Babangida military — SAP-imposed neoliberalism, annulled June 12 1993 election
nigeria_babangida_military_1985_1993
1986–1993Nigeria Structural Adjustment Programme (Babangida SAP)
nigeria_buhari_sap_structural_adjustment_1986
1993–1998Abacha military — kleptocratic dirigisme, Ogoni Nine, sanctions and debt talks
nigeria_abacha_military_1993_1998
1999–2007Obasanjo PDP civilian return — NEEDS reform, Paris Club debt relief, telecom privatisation
nigeria_obasanjo_pdp_civilian_1999_2007
2007–2010Yar'Adua PDP civilian government (Nigeria)
nigeria_yaradua_pdp_2007_2010
2010–2015Jonathan PDP oil-boom centrist era
nigeria_jonathan_pdp_2010_2015
2015–2023Buhari APC civilian era (heterodox FX + protectionism)
nigeria_buhari_apc_civilian_2015_2023
2023Tinubu APC Tinubuomics reform era
nigeria_tinubu_apc_2023_present