Cuba net statist drift 1 movements coded · 1959 → 1959 · final composite drift: +15.0
tone legend
Composite statist-drift trajectory with movements fiscal axes — what moved and which way sectoral subsidy fiscal fiscal.sectoral_subsidy
Targeted industrial and sectoral subsidies (renewable energy, chip manufacturing, agriculture, green hydrogen, etc).
↑ expanded sectoral subsidies ↓ reduced sectoral subsidies transfer expansion fiscal fiscal.transfer_expansion
Size of cash and near-cash transfer programmes (unemployment benefits, means-tested assistance, universal child benefits). Architecturally distinct from forced-saving schemes — see condition welfare_architecture.
↑ larger transfer footprint ↓ smaller transfer footprint
regulatory axes — what moved and which way product market competition regulatory regulatory.product_market_competition
Product-market regulation, entry barriers, licensing burdens, network-industry regulation, price controls.
↑ more competition-friendly (lower entry barriers) ↓ more restrictive regulation, higher entry barriers trade openness regulatory regulatory.trade_openness
Trade policy openness — tariffs, non-tariff barriers, FTAs, industrial protection.
↑ more open trade ↓ more protectionist
monetary axes — what moved and which way central bank independence monetary monetary.central_bank_independence
De jure and de facto independence of the central bank from fiscal authority. Per D.1.5 scope, one of the framework's defensible monetary positions.
↑ greater independence (legal, operational, personnel) ↓ lower independence (fiscal dominance, politicised appointments)
institutional axes — what moved and which way property rights institutional institutional.property_rights
Security of private property rights — formal recognition, expropriation risk, titling systems.
↑ stronger property rights ↓ weaker property rights rule of law institutional institutional.rule_of_law
Rule of law as institutional substrate — contract enforcement, judicial independence, equal treatment before the law. Upstream of most other axes.
↑ stronger rule of law ↓ weaker rule of law
IESET — an empirically-grounded, adversarially-reviewed framework for contemporary economic policy questions. Every hypothesis pre-registered in git before the data is examined.